The Atlanta Falcons will once again get a chance to shine in front of America as they are set to take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. The last time we saw the Falcons on prime time, they were putting a Week 2 whooping on JJ McCarthy’s Minnesota Vikings.
I expect more of the same tonight with the Dirty Birds coming off a bye as 3.5 point home underdogs.
Here are our favorite plays for the Falcons on Monday night.
Bijan Robinson Over EVERYTHING
The last time we saw super star running back Bijan Robinson on prime time, he took 22 carries for 143 yards. In the first month of football, he might have been the best player in the NFL.
So why is his rushing line just 73.5?
He has only gone under this number once and it was in the Week 1 loss in which the Tampa Bay Buccaneers completely silenced Atlanta’s rushing attack.
Listen I get it, the Bills have a good defense, I guess? They allowed 200+ rushing yards to the Ravens, nearly 200 to the Saints, and more than 130 to two other opponents.
His receiving line is only 31.5 too, what am I missing?
He has smashed this 3/4 times, going for more than ONE HUNDRED yards twice.
The way I will be attacking this is by taking his combined rushing plus receiving total. His line is 109.5.
I will be teasing it up to 125+ total yards, and putting ten units on it. This is a +150 play.
Tyler Allgeier Anytime Touchdown Scorer +180
Despite how great Bijan Robinson is, the Falcons have proven time and time again that Tyler Algeier is their goal line back. He’s eclipsed 15 carries twice on the year, he scored in both of those games. With the Bills posting a bottom five run defense, I expect Allgeier to see some carries.
I like his yardage total at 33.5, but I think he is a solid bet to find the endzone. Michael Penix has not yet developed that redzone passing identity, when they get down inside the ten they look to keep it on the ground.
The Bills d-line is beat up, I like Allgeier to punch one in.
Same Game Parlay +345
For today’s same game parlay we are keeping it simple. I think this Falcons team wins the game on the ground. I’m backing the running backs and the play action passing game.
Bijan Robinson o109.5 rushing and receiving yards
Tyler Allgeier 25+ rushing yards
Kyle Pitts o3.5 receptions
With two full weeks to prepare for the Bills, I think the Falcons come into this one trusting their defensive game plan. That means their offensive edge will be keeping Josh Allen off the football field. Nobody has fresher legs than Bijan Robinson right now.
Expect the Falcons to keep this football on the ground in an attempt to secure a low scoring W.
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