Last season, the Buffalo Bills finished with a 13-4 record and were hoping to reach the Super Bowl. But unfortunately, Buffalo fell again to the Kansas City Chiefs in the postseason.
In four out of the last five playoffs, the Bills have fallen to the Chiefs. In four of those games, the Bills were the road team. The only time Buffalo hosted Kansas City in this postseason span was in the 2023 season.
Buffalo Has A Easy Schedule
Being at home gives a team a way better chance to win, but Buffalo has to figure out a way to get home-field advantage through the playoffs.
A good thing for Buffalo is that they play in the second-easiest division in the AFC. The AFC East is, without a question, the second-easiest division to play in, right behind the AFC South. Buffalo gets six games a year against the New York Jets, New England Patriots, and Miami Dolphins. All three of those teams could be fighting for five wins, so the Bills need to make sure they go 6-0 vs. them.
Another good thing is Buffalo gets to play the NFC South this season. They get four games against the New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Only the Buccaneers seem like a threat to beat the Bills, and that game is in Buffalo in November, so there isn’t much to worry about. If the Bills can go 8-2 or even 9-1 against their division and the NFC South, they will be on their way to getting the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Buffalo also gets to play the Cleveland Browns, who will likely be the worst team in the NFL this season.
Bills Projected To Win 11.6 Games
The Bills’ schedule is setting itself up nicely to have the best record in football. And Pro Football Focus projected the Bills to have the best record in the NFL with 11.6 wins.
The Bills can’t have 11.6 wins, but rounding up to 12 would put them at a 12-5 record, which could be suitable for the best record in the AFC.
The Bills are projected to have the most wins in the NFL ð pic.twitter.com/8Q1qzkU2cw
â PFF (@PFF) August 6, 2025
The Bills will have to fight off the Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens for the top spot. However, the Chiefs and Ravens play in tough divisions, meaning they will have much tougher competition for more of the season.
If the Bills can get the No. 1 seed, they would have a bye in the first round of the playoffs and home-field advantage.
Buffalo has been pretty good at home in the postseason, and it’s always better to have teams play in the cold in Orchard Park in January.
Everything is pointing the Bill’s direction this season to make the Super Bowl. Now they need to put everything together and get to the game for the first time since the 1990s.
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