I really think this Monday Night Football matchup draws a lot of issues for the Buffalo Bills as they travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons. The Bills were beaten for the first time this season last Sunday in a physically taxing home loss. The Falcons on the other hand are coming off a bye and have the home field advantage.
As 3.5 point home underdogs. The Falcons are going to look to control the football as much as possible. Conversely, this means Josh Allen and his Bills will have to make their possessions matter.
Im combining my Falcons picks (here) and my Bills picks (here) for a +3300 mega parlay for the first of two Monday Night Football kickoffs.
Falcons Plays
This is a Bijan Robinson game. In the first month of the season he took home the hardware for the NFC offensive player of the month. He didn’t have a single game in which he finished with less than 100 yards from scrimmage. We are taking his rushing and receiving combined number.
Next, we like Tyler Allgeier. Allgeier is being disrespected tonight. In four games this season, he is averaging 11 carries for 39 yards and has found the end zone on more than one occasion. This Bills rushing defense ranks at the bottom of the league. I expect the game plan going in for Atlanta to be focused on keeping Josh Allen off the field. That is why we are taking Tyler Allgeir over 25+ rushing yards.
Lastly, we are backing Kyle Pitts. Pitts is averaging five catches and 50 yards a game. But tonight we are simply taking the receptions. With another receiver ruled out in Atlanta, I expect Pitts to be a security blanket for Michael Penix on third-amd-gotta-have-it downs. I see him picking up short yardage targets.
Bijan Robinson o109.5 rushing and receiving yards
Tyler Allgeier 25+ rushing yards
Kyle Pitts o3.5 receptions
Bills Plays
The Falcons‘ defense has not been exposed yet this season. They have been a league best unit and I believe it’s going to take the Bills‘ best shot to beat them at home. That’s why we are backing the Bills‘ Big Three.
Firstly, James Cook over rushing yards. As goes James Cook, so go the Buffalo Bills. They were unable to get him going last week and the team suffered because of it. I expect a very focused effort to establish the running game and try to get the Falcons out of the zone defense they love to run. Last time out, the Falcons allowed ten yards per carry to opposing running backs. I expect the Bills to see this and try to expose it.
Next, we like Khalil Shakir. Nobody is better at stopping the tight end than the Falcons. With Kincaid facing an uphill battle and already beat up, I expect Shakir to be able to find the holes in the zone defense. He’s hit this number in back to back weeks and I don’t see that changing.
Finally, we are taking Josh Allen to run for just 25 yards. Atlanta’s pass rush is ferocious and Josh Allen hates to lose. I see him taking last week’s loss personally and putting the game on his shoulders to change their fate.
Khalil Shakir o4.5 receptions
James Cook o70.5 rushing yards
Josh Allen 25+ rushing yards
Combine these six plays for a monster parlay, or pick and choose your favorites to play straight.
Like Heavy Sports’s content? Be sure to follow us.
This article was originally published on Heavy Sports
The post +3315 Same Game Parlay Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Monday Night Football appeared first on Heavy Sports.